Business News Business News
In this week's Business News: the government reduces its forecasts for deficit reduction; the Finance Ministry predicts slower growth; Moody's affirms the Czech Republic's stable rating; Koh-i-noor is to purchase a French gas company; the country's water management authority commissions a study into a massive canal project and the country's construction sector is hit by the weak economy.
Government revises deficit reduction plans
The government has been forced to admit that prior deficit reduction plans
will have to be revised in light of the ongoing gloomy economic outlook.
Former plans envisaged a reduction of the budget deficit to 0.9% of GDP by
2015; under the revised plans, that figure has been shifted upwards to 1.6%
of GDP, according to data released on Thursday. Meanwhile, this year, the
deficit is set to also be revised upward – from 3% to 3.2%, while the
forecasts for the years 2013 and 2014 have also been changed.
Ministry of Finance forecasts slower economic growth
Photo: Svilen Milev, Stock.xchng
And in related news, the Czech Ministry of Finance has also conceded that
the economy will not grow as fast as had previously been forecast. Indeed,
according to new data also released on Thursday, GDP will contract this
year by 0.5% and grow by 1% next year. Previous forecasts issued this April
predicted 0.2% growth in 2012 and 1.3% growth in 2013. In 2015, growth is
forecast to hit 2.7%. The Czech Republic is technically currently in a
recession with three quarters of negative growth, contracting 0.8% in the
first quarter of this year. Less economic activity means fewer tax receipts
for the state and this is then reflected in increased borrowing. The
government is in the midst of an austerity programme which has seen tens of
billions of crowns cut or frozen in key programmes.
Moody’s report says Czech Republic remains a stable investment grade nation
The international ratings agency Moody’s affirmed the Czech Republic’s
existing A1 rating this week, which is a comfortable “investment grade”
in the company’s assessment scale. The company also affirmed the
country’s stable rating, noting that fiscal consolidation programmes were
underway and risks of being affected by a euro-related contagion had
hitherto been contained. In its assessment, Moody’s also noted that the
government had successfully beaten its 2011 forecast for lowering the GDP
budget deficit of 4%, achieving a figure of 3.1%, but also warned over the
current weakness of the economy, with medium term concerns over the ability
of the country to return to sustainable and viable levels of growth. On
another plus side, the banking sector was singled out for praise, described
as liquid, well-capitalised and well insulated from volatility in financial
markets.
Koh-i-noor to purchase French gas company
Czech pencil maker Koh-i-noor Hardtmuth is set to purchase the propane and
butane selling company Vitogaz ČR from French owners Rubis, according to
reports. The purchase will be made by Koh-i-noor Holding, of which the
pencil and arts supplies producer is a part. In 2007, the holding group
acquired a plant called Ponas, which makes thermoplastics, in the town of
Polička and also the Bulgarian school supplies company Hemus in the
Bulgarian town of Burgas. Details regarding the Vitogaz ČR purchase have
not been revealed, but estimates suggest it may have come to several
hundred million crowns. Prior to being owned by Rubis, the company was
owned by oil producer Shell. Commenting on the purchase, Koh-i-noor stated
that it was providing the company with a “fourth leg”. The acquisition
must still be approved by Czech anti-monopoly authorities.
Water management company commissions study into massive canal project
Photo: Jaroslav Kubec, Creative Commons 3.0
The Czech Waterways Directorate, a state agency that oversees and manages
Czech waterways infrastructure, is commissioning a six million crown study
to determine the viability of building a massive new canal connecting three
major rivers. The plan, which has been under consideration more than a
hundred years, would connect the Danube, Odra and Elbe rivers. The
staggering project would require the digging of almost four hundred
kilometres of canals in the east of the country from Poland all the way
down to Austria as well as a west-winding canal traversing towards
Pardubice. The aim would be to create new shipping lanes to assist in
commerce. The study will seek to determine whether such a project is
feasible and its potential environmental impact. Asides from the hundreds
of billions of crowns such a project would be estimated to cost, protests
have also been raised about the land acquisitions which would have to take
place in order for construction to commence.
Euroconstruct lowers Czech construction forecast
The eurozone debt crisis has negatively affected the construction business
and the Czech Republic is no exception according to a report by
Euroconstruct, an association of construction firms, which specialises in
forecasting trends in the industry. Estimates at the outset of 2012
predicted a 4.1% contraction in the Czech construction industry; this has
now been revised downwards to 7.2%. In 2013, the fall is expected to be
greater by a further 1.9% before reversing in 2014. Their analysis for the
month of May also shows a 4% fall in employment for larger construction
firms year on year. Both residential and non-residential construction are
expected to continue to take a hit, according to Euroconstruct.






