Business News
In Business News this week: the Czech economy is out of recession, but new GDP figures are worse than expected; a draft 2010 budget has been approved, with a whopping deficit of 230 billion crowns; analysts warn that the country’s credit rating may slide if next year’s budget deficit is not cut, and Škoda scales down Fabia production as Germany’s scrap incentive scheme comes to an end.
Czech economy out of recession, but GDP data worse than feared
The Czech economy is out of recession, suggests second-quarter GDP data
released on Tuesday. The figures were, however, much worse than feared,
with output falling by 5.5 percent year-on-year, which is the sharpest drop
since records began in 1993. According to the Statistical Office, Czech GDP
was actually up by 0.1 percent on the first quarter’s results, less than
the preliminary estimate showing an increase of 0.3 percent. The Czech
economy contracted markedly at the end of 2008 after a drop in eurozone
orders of cars and electronics in particular. Analysts predict that
unemployment will continue to rise until the end of the year, but that the
Czech economy could now be past the worst.
Draft state budget approved, but measures to cut budget deficit still to be debated
Meanwhile, the Czech interim government has agreed on a draft budget for
2010, which anticipates a record state deficit of 230 billion crowns (13.1
billion USD). Finance Minister Eduard Janota has previously warned that
such a giant deficit would prove catastrophic for the Czech economy, and
has drafted a set of proposals to cut the debt by up to 70 billion crowns
(4 billion USD). Prime Minister Jan Fischer said that the package of
cost-cutting measures would be debated by his cabinet next Wednesday. Mr
Janota wants to cut government expenditure and raise taxes in certain
areas. In the run up to general elections, Mr Janota’s proposals are
being greeted with some trepidation by the main Czech political parties.
Analysts warn that without steps to cut deficit, Czech credit rating jeopardised
Analysts reacted to news of the draft budget’s approval with warnings
that the Czech Republic’s credibility would be jeopardised if the budget
deficit was not cut. Economists polled by the Czech news agency CTK said
that the Czech Republic’s credit rating may well be slashed, leading the
state to pay more interest on its debts, if the deficit is not reduced from
the 230 billion crowns currently predicted. Analysts said, however, that
recovery elsewhere in Europe would help the Czech Republic in the coming
year. Still, they stressed that failure to cut next year’s deficit would
probably result in the Czech crown experiencing a drop in value.
Škoda downscales Fabia production, considering lay-offs
While plans for scrap incentive schemes are just being approved here in
the Czech Republic, the initiative encouraging neighbouring Germans to
scrap their old car for a new one are over. And Czech carmakers are feeling
the pinch. This country’s biggest exporter Škoda Auto has announced that
it plans to downscale production of its Fabia model by a third, and, if
need be, lay off hundreds of casual workers. According to union chief
Jaroslav Povšík, if the downscale in production is just for the short
term, then employees can be moved to other operations. Should the lull last
longer, he said, then thousands of casual workers and up to 500 full-time
employees could lose their jobs next year. Škoda executive Holger
Kintscher has confirmed that the company may well need to lay off hundreds
of agency employees.
Czech Republic slides down World Bank’s Doing Business ratings
Conditions for firms have slipped in the Czech Republic in the course of
the last year, suggests the World Bank’s Doing Business 2010 Report. This
year, the Czech Republic ranked 74th in the poll of 183 countries, down
eight places from last year’s result. The Czechs were left behind by the
three other Visegrad states – Slovakia, Poland and Hungary – as well as
their neighbours Germany and Austria. Czech Economic Chamber President Petr
Kuzel was positive about the result; he said that, despite the slip in
ratings, the report showed that both business starts and investor
protection had improved in the Czech Republic which, he said, was of ‘key
importance’. The Czech Republic fared worse this year than last in the
staff hiring, planning permits and taxes sections of the Doing Business
Report.






